Japan 日本
收入压舱石 — 亚洲最深、最可预期的地产收入市场
日本是全站的「收入压舱石」:外国人买一切都不受限(单间公寓到 J-REIT 单位,全产权),管理基础设施最成熟,收益率在全球属中游(J-REIT 分派约 4.5–4.8%、都市住宅毛 3.4% 起),不是亚洲式的薄。代价是人口:东京/大阪/福冈核心之外,租户基数年年在缩——日本资产按「收益率+治理」定价,不按增值。弱日元(160+)让入场价在硬通货口径下处于历史低位,但日元现金流就按日元敞口 sizing,不要伪装成美元收入。
Four grades
Identity & tax (in one line)
Identity and tax: property buys no residence status (no golden visa); from 16 Oct 2025 the Business Manager status requires all five limbs (¥30M capital, a qualifying full-time employee, degree/experience, Japanese at B2, and a professionally reviewed business plan), with existing holders transitioning to Oct 2028. Non-resident rent is withheld at 20.42% (a prepayment, reconciled by filing); fixed asset tax 1.4% plus city planning tax 0.3%; individual capital gains 39.63% (≤5 years) / 20.315% (>5 years; non-residents pay the national portion only). A tax treaty with Singapore is in force.
This section is general information only — not immigration or tax advice. Program rules change frequently; before acting, rely on the official texts and a licensed adviser.
Key metrics
Why this country
Japan is this site's income ballast: 58 listed J-REITs worth ¥16.1tn, distribution yields steady in a 3–5% band for over a decade (about 4.8% average in spring 2026); urban residential gross yields start around 3.4%, mid-table globally rather than Asia-thin. Foreigners — including non-residents — may buy buildings and land with full title, no approval and no local partner, and the management-company and tax-agent infrastructure is mature. Its risks are not institutional but demographic and price-based: the population falls by about 900,000 a year, and Tokyo new-condo averages stand at a record ¥137.84M — outside the core metros, buy on yield plus governance; inside them, question the price first.
Entry routes
Listed route: J-REIT units through any broker with Japan access (entry No. 42), freely bought and sold by non-residents; distributions are withheld at 20.42%.
Physical route is fully open: single condo units, whole buildings and land may all be held with full title; non-resident owners need a tax agent (mandatory) and, in practice, a management company. Everything else is verified item by item against entries No. 43/44.
Status is separate: property buys no visa; the Business Manager status was tightened in October 2025 to ¥30M capital plus four further limbs (see the identity-and-tax line), and the old agency script is obsolete.
Risks
- Rate normalisation is the shared variable for J-REITs and leveraged purchases: with the policy rate at 0.75% and 10-year JGBs around 2.4%, property spreads over government bonds have compressed below their historical norm — dependable income is not the same as a cheap price.
- Demography: outside the major metros the tenant base shrinks every year; for regional high-yield buildings the first risk is not this year's vacancy but whether an exit buyer exists in ten years (entry No. 44).
- The repair-reserve escalator: in 1980s–90s stock, the rising curve of reserve contributions is a silent yield-killer — always read the long-term repair plan and the reserve balance before buying.
Ranked opportunities in this country
| Overall rank | Opportunity | Net return (primary metric) | Our take |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | J-REITs: Asia's cleanest property income instrument — about 4.5–4.8% distributions, about 3.6–3.8% after withholding | 4.5–4.8% | Do |
| 43 | Tokyo used-condo buy-to-let, taken apart: 3.39% gross becomes about 1.8–2.3% net after Japan's own cost lines | 3.39% | Do, with conditions |
| 44 | Japan's regional "high-yield" whole buildings, taken apart: how an 8–12% gross headline collapses to 0–5% | 8–12% | |
| 45 | Japan minpaku: the legal box is shrinking — a 180-day cap, zero-day zones, and about 2–3.5% left | 2–3.5% | Do, with conditions |
| 46 | Japan's coin-parking land lease, taken apart: who actually makes the money — the landowner gets 2–3%, the operator the rest | 1.8–3.2% | |
| 50 | Japan self-storage via Arealink (8914): a fully auditable 3.4% dividend — the story is growth, not current yield | 3.4% | Do, with conditions |